Last updated on November 26th, 2024 at 10:24 am
Kansas City Chiefs is the only undefeated team in the National Football League. It will stake its pristine record against the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. Here are our betting picks and analysis for the Chiefs vs Bills Week 11 game.
After Sunday’s victory against the Broncos, Kansas City is riding high. However, they’ll need every bit of their 8-2 record to overcome Buffalo and preserve their perfect season.
Chiefs vs Bills Betting Odds
- Kansas City: +115
- Buffalo: -135
- Point Spread: 2.5
- Over/Under: 45.5
NFL Week 11 Prediction and Analysis for 11/17/2024
Thanks to the efforts of both clubs, this matchup has been marked on the schedule for a considerable amount of time. According to bookie PPH experts, the Bills have won their last five games and now lead the AFC East. Another Kansas City setback, this time against the Baltimore Ravens by a razor-thin margin of 35-10, was soon forgotten by supporters thanks to that winning streak.
The Chiefs were -1 point favorites to start the game, but now the spread is Bills -2 at most books, with -2.5 being the most probable amount. A three-point deficit suggests that Kansas City’s defense and playing in the open air in November are to blame, as the projected total was 48.5.
Following their 30-20 Week 10 victory against the Indianapolis Colts, the Bills have won their last five games. Despite facing a solid defense from Indianapolis, quarterback Josh Allen managed to pass for 280 yards. The Week 11 game between the Chiefs and the Bills will be held at Highmark Stadium, where the home crowd will support Buffalo.
Despite Kansas City’s high level of confidence going into Sunday’s game, Buffalo has a great chance to break the Chiefs’ perfect record. The Chiefs have stayed perfect under quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who has thrown four touchdown passes and no interceptions in their previous two games against Denver and Tampa Bay, respectively.
Both teams are well-acquainted with one another, and Mahomes knows that the Chiefs’ unblemished record is partly due to their clean play. Buffalo has intercepted seven of ten opponents this season, except for Miami’s Lamar Jackson, Kyle Murray, and Tua Tagovailoa. The three-time Super Bowl MVP hasn’t needed to push the issue as much now that Kareem Hunt is enjoying success on the ground, and Mahomes should add his name to that list.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Betting Pick
- Date: November 17, 2024
- Location: Highmark Stadium
Bet on Kansas City at +2.5
According to NFL sportsbook recommendations experts, the reigning champions are seldom an option when betting on underdogs. Unfortunately, the Chiefs have been in a similar position twice this season. Even in Week 7, Kansas City was a two-point underdog going into San Francisco, but they came out on top. This is reminiscent of Week 11 when the Buffalo Bills were riding high after an outstanding win against Indianapolis, and Kansas City was coming off an awful win.
This match has been highlighted on Buffalo’s calendar since the schedule was released in the spring, and they want it so badly. In Week 11, riding high on a five-game winning run, the Bills appear prepared. However, Kansas City has maintained its perfect record despite taking it easy throughout the season. The Chiefs are win-hungry, to be sure, but the regular season doesn’t feel as pressing as it does in their quest for a third consecutive Super Bowl—except major games.
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