The first match on the Main Card at UFC 305 is Li Jingliang vs Carlos Prates. Here are our betting picks and analysis for the welterweight fight.
With a perfect record of 19-8-0, Li “The Leech” Jingliang enters the Octagon. The 36-year-old stands at 6 feet tall and weighs 170 pounds. According to bookie pay per head experts, a 71-inch reach is typical for orthodox fighters. Standing 6 feet 1 inch and weighing 170 pounds, Carlos “The Nightmare” Prates is ready to battle. The record of the switch fighter is 19-6-0. The 30-year-old boasts a 78-inch reach.
Li Jingliang vs Carlos Prates Betting Odds
- Li Jingliang +275
- Carlos Prates -340
UFC 305 Prediction and Analysis for 08/17/2024
Regarding critical strikes per minute, Carlos Prates connects at 4.09, and Li Jingliang lands at 4.46. Regarding critical strikes, Jingliang lands 42%, and Prates lands 52%. “The Nightmare” takes 5.23 significant strikes per minute, while “The Leech” absorbs 3.84. In addition, Prates parries 39% of his opponents’ strokes, whereas Jingliang parries 57% of their major hits.
With a takedown rate of 1.25 every three rounds, Li Jingliang is the more efficient grappling fighter. In 41% of his takedown attempts, Jingliang succeeds, whereas he fails in 60% of his opponents’ efforts. In his MMA career, Prates has a takedown success percentage of 15% and a takedown defense rate of 80%. Compared to Prates’ 0.9 finishes every 15 minutes, Jingliang’s 0.5 finishes per 3 rounds show that he is less skilled at going for the finish in a sub.
The last time Li Jingliang entered the Octagon, he was defeated by Daniel Rodriguez in round 3 of their bout via split decision. In the match, Rodriguez managed to land 89 of 186 total strikes. According to sports betting reports, Jingliang managed to land 78 out of 175 total blows before the end of the bout. Ultimately, Rodriguez landed 88 of 185 critical strikes, giving him a 47% rate. In the end, he scored 54 out of 140 major knockout blows to the skull. According to the statistics, Jingliang connected on 78 out of 175 significant blows or 44% of the time. Of those notable blows, 25 out of 103 were directed towards the skull. Both Jingliang and Rodriguez threw all of their critical blows at great distances.
The Leech vs The Nightmare Betting Pick
- Date: August 17, 2024
- Location: RAC Arena in Perth, Australia
Bet on Li Jingliang at +275
Fighting for the third time in the UFC, Carlos Prates will face off against the seasoned Li Jingliang in what promises to be an exciting bout. Li is determined to get back on track after nearly two years off the mat, but Prates is quickly emerging as the division’s next formidable challenger in the welterweight division.
If the underdog, Li Jingliang, can control Prates in the ring and put him in a vulnerable position, he can win the fight. According to Bookie Interaction sources, this is his signature technique. In addition, he has a good chance of schooling the young prospect if he can avoid Prates’s risky strikes.
